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Unpacking The 97% Rule

Unpacking The 97% Rule

For the past few years, many St. Augustine homeowners have become used to a market where sellers held most of the leverage. Homes moved quickly. Buyers had less room to negotiate. Pricing aggressively often felt less risky because demand was moving faster than supply.

In 2026, the real estate market has matured.

That is where the “97% rule” comes in. Zillow reports a median sale-to-list ratio of 0.968 for Saint Augustine, while Realtor.com reports that homes in St. Augustine sold for an average of 3.85% below asking price. Note: These numbers were compiled with data from March 2026 and accessed in May 2026. In plain language, many homes are selling around 96% to 97% of list price rather than right at, or above, the asking price.

For sellers, that means it’s time to strategize to maximize.

What the 97% Rule Really Means

If a home is listed at $800,000 and sells at 97% of list price, the final sale price would be around $776,000. That difference may feel small on paper, but it changes the psychology of listing a home.

Sellers can no longer assume that buyers will overlook price, condition, insurance concerns, or needed updates simply because the home is in St. Augustine. Buyers are still drawn to this market for its history, beaches, lifestyle, schools, restaurants, and coastal appeal, but they are comparing more carefully.

That is especially true in higher-priced neighborhoods like Anastasia Island, Vilano Beach, Davis Shores, Lincolnville, and St. Augustine Beach, where buyers are purchasing square footage and a lifestyle.

Smart Negotiation Room Is Not the Same as Overpricing

One of the biggest mistakes sellers can make in a 97% market is assuming they should add extra padding to the list price “just to leave room.”

That strategy can backfire.

Today’s buyers are watching price reductions, days on market, comparable sales, flood zones, insurance costs, HOA fees, and renovation needs. If a home appears overpriced from the beginning, it may receive fewer showings, fewer saves, and weaker online engagement.

Smart negotiation room comes from understanding where the home should sit in the market and how buyers are likely to respond.

A home in Davis Shores with charm, walkability, and strong updates may need a different strategy than a property farther inland, competing with newer construction. A Vilano Beach home with water views may command a different conversation than one with deferred maintenance or elevation concerns. A St. Augustine Beach property with turnkey appeal may attract stronger interest than a similar home that needs major improvements.

Local context matters.

Neighborhood Matters: The 97% Rule Is Not One-Size-Fits-All

Let’s break down how negotiation room may look different across St. Augustine and St. Johns County.

Anastasia Island

Homes with beach access, updated interiors, strong rental potential, or proximity to restaurants and local lifestyle amenities may still command premium attention. Dated homes or ones that require renovations away from the water might need to be priced more conservatively.

Davis Shores

Buyers may pay for walkability, proximity to downtown, and neighborhood character, but condition and flood zones can influence negotiation. However, that’s not always a negative thing. Properties in Flood Zone X are hot commodities in this area of town.

Vilano Beach

Water access, views, and lifestyle appeal can support stronger pricing, but buyers are still evaluating insurance, elevation, and long-term maintenance.

Historic Downtown and Lincolnville

Charm and scarcity matter, but older homes require careful pricing if updates, parking, or preservation considerations come into play. If you’re sitting on a renovated property, it’s basically an untapped gold mine.

St. Augustine Beach

Lifestyle demand remains strong, especially for move-in-ready homes. That being said, buyers have become more analytical about price per square foot and comparable sales. Similar to the rest of Anastasia Island, proximity to the sand makes a massive difference.

Days on Market Can Change the Conversation

Negotiation may show up in several ways. Buyers may ask for a lower purchase price, seller credits, inspection repairs, rate buydowns, furniture inclusions, or longer timelines. None of these requests automatically makes an offer bad. They simply need to be evaluated in context.

In a faster market, buyers often felt pressure to act immediately. In 2026, time is playing a larger role.

When a home sits too long, buyers begin to wonder whether something is wrong with the property or the price. That perception can create leverage before an offer is ever made.

This is why the first two weeks of a listing still matter. Strong photography, clear positioning, accurate pricing, and polished presentation can shape how the market sees the home. A thoughtful launch can help a seller negotiate from strength instead of reacting after weeks of limited activity.

Sellers who price thoughtfully, present their homes well, and understand local buyer behavior are still in a strong position. But the days of listing high and assuming the market will catch up are not the norm anymore.

In St. Augustine, the best results come from knowing the difference between leaving room to negotiate and giving buyers a reason to hesitate.

The Newcomer Group Are Your Local Real Estate Experts

Is your home ready to hit the market? Maybe you need some more information before you decide your next step. Contact The Newcomer Group today at (904) 201-9393 and learn how we can assist you on your real estate journey.

 

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